EGU Abstract Submission: Earth resilience, tipping points and human-Earth system interactions in the Anthropocene

EGU Abstract Submission: Earth resilience, tipping points and human-Earth system interactions in the Anthropocene

by | Jan 4, 2023 | News, Tipping Points in the Earth System

EGU Abstract Submission: Earth resilience, tipping points and human-Earth system interactions in the Anthropocene

CL3.2.6  – Co-organized by BG8/CR7/ERE1/NP8/OS1

Convener: Jonathan Donges  | Co-conveners: Ricarda Winkelmann, David Armstrong McKay, Marina Hirota, Lan Wang-Erlandsson

The UN Sustainable Development Goals and the Paris Agreement on climate recognized the deteriorating resilience of the Earth system, with planetary-scale human impacts constituting a new geological epoch: the Anthropocene. Earth system resilience critically depends on the nonlinear interplay of positive and negative feedbacks of biophysical and increasingly also socio-economic processes. These include dynamics and interactions between the carbon cycle, the atmosphere, oceans, large-scale ecosystems, and the cryosphere, as well as the dynamics and perturbations associated with human activities.

With rising anthropogenic pressures, there is an increasing risk we might be hitting the ceiling of some of the self-regulating feedbacks of the Earth System, and cross tipping points which could trigger large-scale and partly irreversible impacts on the environment, and impact the livelihood of millions of people. Potential domino effects or tipping cascades could arise due to the interactions between these tipping elements and lead to a further decline of Earth resilience. At the same time, there is growing evidence supporting the potential of positive (social) tipping points that could propel rapid decarbonization and transformative change towards global sustainability.

In this session we invite contributions on all topics relating to tipping points in the Earth system, positive (social) tipping, as well as their interaction and domino effects. We are particularly interested in various methodological approaches, from Earth system modelling to conceptual modelling and data analysis of nonlinearities, tipping points and abrupt shifts in the Earth system.

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A note from the conveners:

We kindly invite your contributions to our EGU 2023 session. In the past few years, our session was very well attended (> 200 participants) online and offline and received many submissions. We are looking forward to exciting contributions and stimulating discussions in Vienna this year in the conference center, online and at our session dinner (to be announced).

Happy new year and best wishes,

Jonathan, Ricarda, David, Marina and Lan

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Deadlines & milestones (selection)
Abstract submission deadline: 10 January 2023, 13:00 CET

 

 

 

Submit your abstract here
Tipping Points and Understanding Earth Observation data needs for a Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project

Tipping Points and Understanding Earth Observation data needs for a Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project

by | May 10, 2022 | Tipping Points in the Earth System

Tipping Points and Understanding Earth Observation data needs for a Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project

The International Space Science Institute is hosting a workshop on 10-14 October 2022 in Bern, Switzerland. Workshops are selected by the ISSI Directors in consultation with the Science Committee. The programs and speakers are defined by a group of highly qualified experts serving as convenors. The Workshops of a week duration (in exceptional cases repeated) can be attended by up to 50 scientists and experts. Workshops always lead to a volume of the Space Science Series of ISSI (SSSI) and in parallel as issues of Space Science Reviews or Surveys in Geophysics. Stay tuned for more information.

Governing tipping elements in the Earth system as the new global commons of the Anthropocene

Governing tipping elements in the Earth system as the new global commons of the Anthropocene

by | May 10, 2022 | Tipping Points in the Earth System

Governing tipping elements in the Earth system as the new global commons of the Anthropocene

This two-day cross-disciplinary in-person workshop will be jointly hosted by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), and the Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies (IASS) in Potsdam, Germany, on 11-12 July 2022. 

The purpose of the workshop is to explore urgently needed avenues for effective governance of the large-scale physical, chemical and biological components of the Earth system, known as tipping elements. The starting point of the gathering will be to consider redefining global commons for consistency with the latest evidence from Earth system science, within the framework of legal requirements, as a new impetus for an urgent transition towards a governance paradigm that is appropriate for tackling the challenges of the Anthropocene. A preliminary text addressing this topic will be presented for a discussion in due course, aiming towards further development of this text. The ultimate planned deliverable will be a fully developed, jointly written academic paper, ready for submission to a high-impact peer-review journal a few months after the meeting.

Tipping Points Conference at the University of Exeter: From Climate Crisis to Positive Transformation

Tipping Points Conference at the University of Exeter: From Climate Crisis to Positive Transformation

by | May 10, 2022 | Events, Tipping Points in the Earth System

Tipping Points – from climate crisis to positive transformation

On 12-14 September 2022, the University of Exeter is hosting a ‘call to action’ to form an alliance to improve warnings of the proximity of catastrophic climate tipping points and to accelerate positive tipping points to avert the climate crisis.

Meeting Format

The meeting will cover the latest developments in both negative and positive tipping points, at scales from local to global, and from theory to practice. It will consider the risks from climate tipping points and opportunities for positive tipping points for different regions, communities, sectors, and supply chains.

We will inspire, inform, and listen to attendees on how to deliver positive tipping points across your sectors, communities, and countries. Through participating in the meeting you can join a growing alliance of partners that are working to develop the urgent and rapid solutions required to address the climate and ecological emergency through a socially just transformation. Working with world-leading experts in tipping points science, together we can harness our resources to accelerate positive change and realise the associated benefits.

Over three days participants will go on a journey from facing up to the risks from climate change tipping points to being empowered by the opportunities in triggering positive social tipping points. This is an in-person meeting however some talks will be live-streamed for virtual audiences.

The programme will involve ‘state-of-the-art’ plenaries and workshops to advance the research and action agendas.

Speakers will be from academia, industry, government, and NGOs to highlight the need for rapid and transformative solutions as well as the risks and early warning requirements on negative tipping points.

  • How long left in the ‘safe zone’? Hear the latest science on the proximity to global climate tipping points and risks in the biosphere and societies.
  • Improve the risk assessment of climate tipping points through early warning systems.
  • How to stay in the ‘safe zone’? Identify opportunities for transformative action through positive tipping points.
  • Develop new approaches for triggering positive tipping points and convene coalitions of partners and resources for implementation.
Target Audience:
  • Researchers
  • Business and finance
  • Policy makers
  • NGOs
  • Funders
  • Community leaders
Learn More