Tipping Elements in the Earth System
AIMES, the Earth Commission Working Group 1 Earth and Human Systems Intercomparison Modelling Project (EHSMIP) under the Global Commons Alliance, and the Safe Landing Climates Lighthouse Activity of World Climate Research Program (WCRP) are organizing a discussion series that aims to advance the knowledge about tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt changes in the Earth system. The discussion series is intended to support efforts to increase consistency in treatment of tipping elements in the scientific community, develop a research agenda, and design joint experiments and ideas for a Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project (TipMip). The primary objective is to create an international science platform for the study of climatic, ecological and social tipping elements and their interactions in the Earth system.
Objectives & Goals
- Facilitate and coordinate synthesis and review activities and publications on the risks imposed by climate and ecological tipping elements and their potentially cascading interactions, early warning signals and intervention/management options, as well as on the opportunities offered by societal tipping elements and their interactions for sustainability transformation.
- Identify corresponding research needs.
- Convene workshops and other activities around these topics.
- Serve as a science-based clearing house for these topics for research and policy communities.
The Tipping Points in the Earth System working group’s organizing committee is comprised of members of the Analysis, Integration, and Modeling of the Earth System (AIMES), the World Climate Research Program (WCRP) Safe Landing Climate Activity, and the Earth Commission.
Indian Institute of Science, India
AIMES, Earth Commission
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Germany
Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research, Germany
University of Edinburgh, UK
University of Exeter, UK
AIMES, Earth Commission
Climate Change Research Centre (CCRC), University of New South Wales, Australia
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany
Tipping Elements Discussion Series
Discussion Series: Early Warning Signals Location: VirtualDate: 29 January 14:30 - 16:00 CETRegister: https://early-warning-signals.confetti.events/ Join AIMES, the Earth Commission, Future Earth, and WCRP for a webinar on Early Warning Signals as potential...
Discussion Series: Global Tipping Points Report 2023 - Discussion with Section Leads Location: VirtualDate: 13 December 10:30 - 12:00 CETRegister: https://global-tipping-points-report-2023-discussions.confetti.events/ Join AIMES, Earth Commission, Future Earth and...
Discussion Series: Economics view of tipping points Location: VirtualDate: 28 November 15:00 - 16:30 CETRegister: https://economics-view-of-tipping-points.confetti.events/ Join AIMES, Earth Commission, Future Earth and WCRP for the webinar series that aims to advance...
Discussion Series: Methane - possible tipping points or surprises Location: VirtualDate: 7 November 15:30 - 17:00 CETRegister: https://methane-possible-tipping-points-or-surprises.confetti.events/ Join AIMES, Earth Commission, Future Earth and WCRP for the webinar...
Discussion Series: Ecological tipping points and resilience: when it may occur and when not Location: VirtualDates: 29 September 14:00 - 15:30 CESTRegister: https://ecological-tipping-points-and-resilience.confetti.events/ Join AIMES, Earth Commission, Future Earth...
Discussion Series: Education and Digitalisation Location: VirtualDates: 25 May 15:30 - 17:00 CESTRegister: https://futureearth.confetti.events/education-and-digitalisation Join AIMES, Earth Commission, Future Earth and WCRP for the webinar series that aims to advance...
Discussion Series: Climate extremes and impacts on the terrestrial carbon-cycle and fires Location: VirtualDates: 20 April 2023, 15:00-16:30 CESTRegister: https://climateextremes.confetti.events/ Join AIMES, Earth Commission, Future Earth and WCRP for the webinar...
Discussion Series: Entering Social Tipping: Norms, Agency and Scales Location: VirtualDates: 30 March 2023, 15:00-16:30 CESTRegister: https://entering-social-tipping-norms-agency-and-scales.confetti.events/ Join AIMES, Earth Commission, Future Earth and WCRP for the...
Discussion Series: Governing Earth System Tipping Points in Times of Multiple Crises Location: VirtualDates: 27 February 2023, 14:00-15:30 CETRegister: https://governance-of-climate-tipping-points.confetti.events/ Join AIMES, Earth Commission, Future Earth and WCRP...
Discussion Series: Climate Tipping Points: how to tip society, not the planet Location: VirtualDates: 26 January 2023, 15:00-16:30 CETRegister: https://tipping-points-positive-tipping.confetti.events/ Join AIMES, Earth Commission, Future Earth and WCRP for the...
Addressing Key Uncertainties in Modelling Physical and Ecological Tipping Dynamics in the Earth System (towards TIPMIP)
Learn more and apply to participate in the WE-Heraeus Seminar on ‘Addressing Key Uncertainties in Modelling Physical and Ecological Tipping Dynamics in the Earth System (towards TIPMIP)’ that will take place 5-8 Nov 2023.
Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project(Image source: Sina Loriani @ PIK) The Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project led by Ricarda Winkelmann and Jonathan Donges at Potsdam Institute for Climate Systems Research (PIK) now has a website detailing the...
Climate Tipping Points, Irreversibility and their Consequences for Society, Environment and Economies | Switzerland’s Proposal for an IPCC Special Report
Climate Tipping Points, Irreversibility and their Consequences for Society, Environment and Economies | Switzerland’s Proposal for an IPCC Special ReportABOUT THIS SESSION Over the past decades, our scientific understanding of climate change has significantly grown....
Tipping Points and Understanding Earth Observation data needs for a Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project
Tipping Points and Understanding Earth Observation data needs for a Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project The International Space Science Institute is hosting a workshop on 10-14 October 2022 in Bern, Switzerland. Workshops are selected by the ISSI Directors...
Governing tipping elements in the Earth system as the new global commons of the Anthropocene This two-day cross-disciplinary in-person workshop will be jointly hosted by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), and the Institute for Advanced...
Tipping Points Conference at the University of Exeter: From Climate Crisis to Positive Transformation
Tipping Points - from climate crisis to positive transformation On 12-14 September 2022, the University of Exeter is hosting a ‘call to action’ to form an alliance to improve warnings of the proximity of catastrophic climate tipping points and to accelerate positive...
EGU Abstract Submission: Tipping points, domino effects and resilience in the Earth system Co-organized by CR7/NP8/OS1 Convener: Ricarda Winkelmann | Co-conveners: Jonathan Donges, Victor Brovkin, Sarah Cornell, Timothy Lenton In this session we invite contributions...
The Earth Commission’s Working Group 1 (Earth and Human Systems Modelling Intercomparison Project), Future Earth’s global research project Analysis, Integration, and Modeling of the Earth System (AIMES) and the Safe Landing Climates Light House Activity of World...
Hosted by the International Space Science Institute and convened by ESA Climate Office and the Future Earth AIMES project, a workshop held 26-29 January 2021 brought modelers and the remote-sensing community together to discuss how Earth observations can contribute to our understanding of tipping elements in the climate system and help with early warning of change.
AIMES and PAGES organized a workshop at MPI-M to summarize and evaluate evidence on non-linear Earth System dynamics in recent geological history, and discuss how best to acquire, analyze and interpret such data to understand the risk of future abrupt transitions.