Tipping Elements in the Earth System

Overview

AIMES, the Earth Commission Working Group 1 Earth and Human Systems Intercomparison Modelling Project (EHSMIP) under the Global Commons Alliance, and the Safe Landing Climates Lighthouse Activity of World Climate Research Program (WCRP) are organizing a discussion series that aims to advance the knowledge about tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt changes in the Earth system. The discussion series is intended to support efforts to increase consistency in treatment of tipping elements in the scientific community, develop a research agenda, and design joint experiments and ideas for a Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project (TipMip). The primary objective is to create an international science platform for the study of climatic, ecological and social tipping elements and their interactions in the Earth system.

Objectives & Goals
  • Facilitate and coordinate synthesis and review activities and publications on the risks imposed by climate and ecological tipping elements and their potentially cascading interactions, early warning signals and intervention/management options, as well as on the opportunities offered by societal tipping elements and their interactions for sustainability transformation.
  • Identify corresponding research needs.
  • Convene workshops and other activities around these topics.
  • Serve as a science-based clearing house for these topics for research and policy communities.

Organizing Committee

The Tipping Points in the Earth System working group’s organizing committee is comprised of members of the Analysis, Integration, and Modeling of the Earth System (AIMES), the World Climate Research Program (WCRP) Safe Landing Climate Activity, and the Earth Commission.

Govindasamy Bala

Indian Institute of Science, India

AIMES, Earth Commission

Victor Brovkin

Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Germany

AIMES

Jonathan Donges

Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research, Germany

AIMES

Gabi Hegerl

University of Edinburgh, UK

WCRP

Tim Lenton

University of Exeter, UK

AIMES, Earth Commission

Nebojsa Nakicenovic

IIASA, Austria

Earth Commission

Steven Sherwood

Climate Change Research Centre (CCRC), University of New South Wales, Australia

WCRP

Ricarda Winkelmann

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany

Earth Commission

Caroline Zimm

IIASA, Austria

Earth Commission

Tipping Elements Discussion Series

Upcoming Events

Past Events

Workshop: Remote Sensing of Tipping Points in the Climate System

Workshop: Remote Sensing of Tipping Points in the Climate System

Hosted by the International Space Science Institute and convened by ESA Climate Office and the Future Earth AIMES project, a workshop held 26-29 January 2021 brought modelers and the remote-sensing community together to discuss how Earth observations can contribute to our understanding of tipping elements in the climate system and help with early warning of change.

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