
Tipping Elements in the Earth System
Overview
AIMES, the Earth Commission Working Group 1 Earth and Human Systems Intercomparison Modelling Project (EHSMIP) under the Global Commons Alliance, and the Safe Landing Climates Lighthouse Activity of World Climate Research Program (WCRP) are organizing a discussion series that aims to advance the knowledge about tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt changes in the Earth system. The discussion series is intended to support efforts to increase consistency in treatment of tipping elements in the scientific community, develop a research agenda, and design joint experiments and ideas for a Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project (TipMip). The primary objective is to create an international science platform for the study of climatic, ecological and social tipping elements and their interactions in the Earth system.
Objectives & Goals
- Facilitate and coordinate synthesis and review activities and publications on the risks imposed by climate and ecological tipping elements and their potentially cascading interactions, early warning signals and intervention/management options, as well as on the opportunities offered by societal tipping elements and their interactions for sustainability transformation.
- Identify corresponding research needs.
- Convene workshops and other activities around these topics.
- Serve as a science-based clearing house for these topics for research and policy communities.
Organizing Committee
The Tipping Points in the Earth System working group’s organizing committee is comprised of members of the Analysis, Integration, and Modeling of the Earth System (AIMES), the World Climate Research Program (WCRP) Safe Landing Climate Activity, and the Earth Commission.
Govindasamy Bala
Indian Institute of Science, India
AIMES, Earth Commission
Victor Brovkin
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Germany
AIMES
Jonathan Donges
Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research, Germany
AIMES
Gabi Hegerl
University of Edinburgh, UK
WCRP
Tim Lenton
University of Exeter, UK
AIMES, Earth Commission
Nebojsa Nakicenovic
IIASA, Austria
Earth Commission
Steven Sherwood
Climate Change Research Centre (CCRC), University of New South Wales, Australia
WCRP
Ricarda Winkelmann
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany
Earth Commission
Caroline Zimm
IIASA, Austria
Earth Commission
Tipping Elements Discussion Series
Discussion Series: Human and Earth Systems Interlinkages
Discussion Series: Human and Earth Systems Interlinkages Location: VirtualDates: 7 April 2022, 16:30 CESTRegister:https://tipping-series-interlinkages.confetti.events/ Join AIMES, the Earth Commission, Future Earth, and WCRP Safe Landing Climates Lighthouse Activity...
Discussion Series: Tipping Elements, Irreversibility, and Change in Monsoon Systems
Discussion Series: Tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt change in Monsoon Systems Location: VirtualDates: 9 March 2022, 15:30 - 17:00 CESTRegister: www.tipping-series-monsoon.confetti.events About this event This event is part of a series of online...
Discussion Series: Tipping Elements, Irreversibility, and Change in Oceans
Discussion Series: Tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt change in Oceans Location: VirtualDates: 11 February 2022, 13:30 - 15:00 CESTRegister: www.tipping-series-ocean.confetti.events About this event This event is part of a series of online discussions aims...
Discussion Series: Tipping Elements, Irreversibility, and Change in Ice Sheets
Discussion Series: Tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt change in Ice Sheets Location: VirtualDates: 25 January 2022, 16:00-17:30 CET About this event This discussion series aims to advance the knowledge about tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt...
Tipping Elements, Irreversibility and Abrupt Change – Permafrost
Tipping Elements, Irreversibility and Abrupt Change: Permafrost Location: VirtualDate: 17 January 2022, 16:00 - 17:30 CET About this event This discussion series aims to advance the knowledge about tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt changes in the Earth...
Discussion Series: Tipping Elements, Irreversibility, and Change in Ice Sheets
This event will focus on the ice sheets:
Introduction and moderation – Heiko Goelzer and Hannah Liddy (5min)
Recent Updates on Ice Sheet Loss (tbc) – Ricarda Winkelmann (20min)
Climate and sea level impacts of Greenland and Antarctic ice sheet loss (tbc) – Sophie Nowicki (20min)
Discussion Series: Tipping Elements, Irreversibility, and Change in the Amazon
This event will focus on the Amazon:
Introduction and moderation – Tim Lenton and Patricia Pinho (5min)
Is the Amazon Rainforest near a Tipping Point? – Carlos Nobre (20min)
Amazon Forest dieback in CMIP6 Earth System Models – Peter Cox (20min)
Discussion Series: Tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt change in the Earth system
Register for the discussion series on ‘Tipping Elements, Irreversibility, and Abrupt Changes in the Earth System.’ This first session will provide an overview of tipping elements and extreme events in the climate system with talks by Tim Lenton and Sonia Seneviratne followed by a discussion session.
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