Discussion Series: Tipping Elements, Irreversibility, and Change in Monsoon Systems

Discussion Series: Tipping Elements, Irreversibility, and Change in Monsoon Systems

Discussion Series:

Tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt change in Monsoon Systems

Location: Virtual
Dates: 9 March 2022, 15:30 – 17:00 CEST
Register: www.tipping-series-monsoon.confetti.events

 

About this event

This event is part of a series of online discussions aims to advance the knowledge about tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt changes in the Earth system. It supports efforts to increase consistency in treatment of tipping elements in the scientific community, develop a research agenda, and design joint experiments and ideas for a Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project (TipMip).

This discussion series is a joint activity of the Analysis, Integration, and Modeling of the Earth System (AIMES) global research project of Future Earth, the Earth Commission Working Group 1 Earth and Human Systems Intercomparison Modelling Project (EHSMIP) under the Global Commons Alliance and the Safe Landing Climates Lighthouse Activity of World Climate Research Program (WCRP).

Join AIMES, Earth Commission and WCRP for the sixth webinar in a series that aims to advance the knowledge about tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt changes in the Earth system. This novel event will include presentations on monsoon tipping points from world leading researchers. Register to be kept up to date.

Martin Claussen will moderate this event.

  • South Asian Monsoon tipping (tbc) – Ashwin Seshadri
  • African Monsoon and potential greening of the Sahara (tbc) – Francesco Pausata
  • Q&A/ Discussion

The talks will be followed by 20 minutes of formal discussions and, for those who wish to stay on, a further 25 minutes of informal discussions on the topic. This event is free of charge, but please register. The event will be recorded.

Speaker Information

Prof. Ashwin Seshadri, Indian Institute of Science

Dr. Seshadri is Assistant Professor at the Divecha Centre for Climate Change (DCCC) and the Centre for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences (CAOS) at the Indian Institute of Science.

Prof. Francesco Pausata, University of Quebec

Dr. Pausata is Assistant Professor at the Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences of the University of Quebec in Montreal (UQAM).

 

 

Discussion Series: Tipping Elements, Irreversibility, and Change in Oceans

Discussion Series: Tipping Elements, Irreversibility, and Change in Oceans

Discussion Series:

Tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt change in Oceans

Location: Virtual
Dates: 11 February 2022, 13:30 – 15:00 CEST
Register: www.tipping-series-ocean.confetti.events

About this event

This event is part of a series of online discussions aims to advance the knowledge about tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt changes in the Earth system. It supports efforts to increase consistency in treatment of tipping elements in the scientific community, develop a research agenda, and design joint experiments and ideas for a Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project (TipMip).

This discussion series is a joint activity of the Analysis, Integration, and Modeling of the Earth System (AIMES) global research project of Future Earth, the Earth Commission Working Group 1 Earth and Human Systems Intercomparison Modelling Project (EHSMIP) under the Global Commons Alliance and the Safe Landing Climates Lighthouse Activity of World Climate Research Program (WCRP).

Join AIMES, Earth Commission and WCRP for the fifth webinar in a series that aims to advance the knowledge about tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt changes in the Earth system. This novel event will include presentations on ocean tipping points from world leading researchers. Register to be kept up to date.

Helene Hewitt and Didier Swingedouw will moderate the event.

  • Ocean tipping points – an overview – Christoph Heinze
  • Recent insights on AMOC – Stefan Rahmstorf
  • Q&A/ Discussion

The talks will be followed by 20 minutes of formal discussions and, for those who wish to stay on, a further 25 minutes of informal discussions on the topic.This event is free of charge, but please register. The event will be recorded.

Speaker Information

Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf 

University of Potsdam, Institute of Physics and Astronomy; Head of Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

Prof. Rahmstorf‘s work focuses on the role of the oceans in climate change. Prof. Rahmstorf has been teaching Physics of the Oceans as a professor at Potsdam University since 2000. Rahmstorf is a member of the Academia Europaea and served from 2004-2013 in the German Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU). He was also one of the lead authors of the 4th Assessment Report of the IPCC. In 2007 he became an Honorary Fellow of the University of Wales and in 2010 a Fellow of the American Geophysical Union. In 2017 he was the first scientist outside the US to be awarded the Climate Communication Prize of the American Geophysical Union.

 

Prof. Christoph Heinze 
Geophysical Institute and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, University of Bergen

Prof. Heinze‘s interest lie in modelling of marine biogeochemical cycles, quantifications of the global carbon cycle, simulation and interpretation of the climatic sediment record, feedbacks between biogeochemistry and climate and ocean tipping points. He served as lead author for IPCC AR4/WG1 and as review editor for IPCC AR5/WG1. Heinze is member of the Norwegian Academy of Science and Letters since 2019.

Discussion Series: Tipping Elements, Irreversibility, and Change in Ice Sheets

Discussion Series: Tipping Elements, Irreversibility, and Change in Ice Sheets

Discussion Series: Tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt change in Ice Sheets

Location: Virtual
Dates: 25 January 2022, 16:00-17:30 CET

About this event

This discussion series aims to advance the knowledge about tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt changes in the Earth system. It supports efforts to increase consistency in the treatment of tipping elements in the scientific community, develop a research agenda, and design joint experiments and ideas for a Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project (TipMip).

This discussion series is a joint activity of the Analysis, Integration, and Modeling of the Earth System (AIMES) global research project of Future Earth, the Earth Commission Working Group 1 Earth and Human Systems Intercomparison Modelling Project (EHSMIP) under the Global Commons Alliance and the Safe Landing Climates Lighthouse Activity of World Climate Research Program (WCRP).

This event will focus on the ice sheets:

  • Introduction and moderation – Heiko Goelzer and Hannah Liddy (10min)
  • Projections from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets: insights from IPCC AR6 – Sophie Nowicki (20min)
  • Beyond gradual change: Tipping points in Greenland and Antarctica – Ricarda Winkelmann (20min)
  • Questions and discussion (20min)

The final 20 minutes is reserved for informal discussions on the research agenda and the development of a Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project (TipMip). The event will be recorded.

This event is free of charge, but please register. The event will be recorded.

Speaker Information

Sophie Nowicki, University of Buffalo
Dr. Sophie Nowicki is an Empire Innovation Professor in the Department of Geology and RENEW Faculty. Her research focusses on the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets, their connections to the Earth’s climate system and their impact on sea level. Her work is aligned with the RENEW Climate Change and Socioeconomic Impacts focus areas.

Through applied mathematics, remote sensing observations and numerical modeling, her work spans the spectrum of local processes, such as understanding the physics of ice sheet grounding lines, or the impact of bedrock topography on ice dynamics, to that of large-scale continental ice sheet models and their use in projections of sea level change. As sea level projections from ice sheet models require knowledge of atmospheric and oceanic conditions that drive ice sheet evolution, Dr. Nowicki is also interested in how to improve climate models in the polar regions, as well as the use of multiple models for projections.

Prior to joining UB, Dr. Nowicki was a Research Scientist and Deputy Chief for the Cryospheric Sciences Laboratory (Code 615) at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD. While at NASA Goddard, Sophie was a science team member for Operation IceBridge, and co-lead the SeaRISE (Sea-Level Response to Ice Sheet Evolution), an international effort that investigated the sensitivity of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets to external environmental forcings. She led many competed efforts such as an effort to couple ice sheet models to the two Goddard climate models (i.e., GEOS-5 and ModelE), and an effort that investigated the feedbacks, processes and impacts of contemporary changes in the Arctic using satellite observations, ice sheet and climate models.

Dr. Nowicki is a member of the NASA Sea Level Change Team (N-SLCT), a member of the SEARCH Land Ice Action Team (LIAT), an executive committee member for the Ice Sheet Mass Balance Intercomparison Exercise phase 2 (IMBIE2), a member of the Community Earth System Model (CESM) Scientific Steering Committee (SSC) and co-leads the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6). She is the Division Head for Ice Sheets for the International Association of Cryospheric Sciences (IACS) and a member of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) Sea Level Change and Coastal Impacts Chand Challenge. She was invited to be a lead author on the IPCC 6th Assessment Report Chapter on “Ocean, cryosphere, and sea level change”.

Dr. Nowicki holds a Ph.D. in Theoretical Glaciology from University College London (UK), an MSc in Remote Sensing and Image Processing and a bachelor degree in Geophysics from The University of Edinburgh (UK). Over her time as a scientist, Dr. Nowicki has received numerous awards including that of NASA Cryospheric Sciences Most Valuable Player, awards for Outstanding Publications and Scientific Achievements. She is most proud of her mentoring award (the Robert Goddard Honor Award for Mentoring) which recognizes not only her work with postdocs and young scientists, but also the amazing work that they did.

Ricarda Winkelmann, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Prof. Winkelmann is a professor at Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and University of Potsdam. She is Co-Chair of Working Group 1 of the Earth Commission and leads the TIP-MIP intercomparison project (that we will hear more about later). Trained as a mathematician and theoretical physicist in Germany and the United States, Winkelmann received her PhD with distinction from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and was a visiting researcher at the Carnegie Institution for Science in Stanford before returning to Germany as professor of Climate System Analysis. Ricarda has received numerous awards for her work, including being named Young Scientist of the Year by Academics and ZEIT Publishing Group. Her research at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research focuses on ice-dynamics in Greenland and Antarctica, future sea-level rise and tipping elements in the Earth System.

Towards global-scale behavioural models of land use change: Online Symposium

Towards global-scale behavioural models of land use change: Online Symposium

Towards global-scale behavioural models of land use change: Online Symposium

Location: Virtual
Dates: Wednesday 15 & Thursday 16 December 2021, 15:00-17:00 Central European Time

Register: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSd8n_KTfIQUn6zRe0VIBi8P_loe3OeIR8iiKxAptGPhjKPLhw/viewform

 

Organisers: Dr Calum Brown, Prof. Tatiana Filatova, Dr Birgit Müller, Dr Derek Robinson, Prof. Mark Rounsevell, Prof. Maja Schlüter

This symposium will gather together an international group of researchers to tackle one of the most important challenges facing Earth System Science: the development of large-scale (national/continental to global) land-use models that are based on human behaviour, agency and decision-making processes. Participants will work together to support the development of such models, building on recent advances in theoretical and computational representations of human decision-making to determine which processes and relationships are most important, and how they can best be modelled. The workshop will introduce recent work within the behavioural modelling community, and develop specific collaborative efforts leading towards global-scale modelling. Participants are invited to present flash talks and ideas for group discussion, and to complete a brief pre-workshop survey. See the agenda below.

Tipping Elements, Irreversibility and Abrupt Change – Permafrost

Tipping Elements, Irreversibility and Abrupt Change – Permafrost

Tipping Elements, Irreversibility and Abrupt Change: Permafrost

Location: Virtual
Date: 17 January 2022, 16:00 – 17:30 CET

About this event

This discussion series aims to advance the knowledge about tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt changes in the Earth system. It supports efforts to increase consistency in treatment of tipping elements in the scientific community, develop a research agenda, and design joint experiments and ideas for a Tipping Element Model Intercomparison Project (TipMip).

This discussion series is a joint activity of the Analysis, Integration, and Modeling of the Earth System (AIMES) global research project of Future Earth, the Earth Commission Working Group 1 Earth and Human Systems Intercomparison Modelling Project (EHSMIP) under the Global Commons Alliance and the Safe Landing Climates Light House Activity of World Climate Research Program (WCRP).

This event in the series focuses on permafrost.

The events (60-90min each) will be held monthly and are open to the public.

  • Introduction and objectives of the webinar – Victor Brovkin (5min)
  • An update on permafrost tipping (tbc) – Hanne Hvidtfeld Christiansen (20min)
  • Model insight on permafrost change (tbc) -Gustaf Hugelius (20min)
  • Questions and discussion (20min)

Speaker Information

Professor Hanne Hvidtfeld Christiansen, The University Centre in Svalbard

Dr. Hanne H. Christiansen is Professor in physical geography.

Her main research topic is periglacial geomorphology with focus on permafrost and its climatic controls.

She is the coordinator of the ‘Permafrost Observatory Project: A Contribution to the Thermal State of Permafrost in Norway and Svalbard’ (TSP Norway) IPY research project.

Gustaf Hugelius, Stockholm University

Dr Hugelius is Senior Lecturer, Department of Physical Geography at Stockholm University. He is Vice Director of the Bolin Centre of Climate Research and so-leads the research unit Landscape, Environment and Geomatics.

Open Modeling Foundation Organizational Meeting

Open Modeling Foundation Organizational Meeting

Open Modeling Foundation Organizational Meeting

When: Monday-Tuesday, December 6-7, 2021

Where: Virtual via Zoom and In-Person at the ASU Barrett & O’Connor Washington Center

1800 I Street, NW Washington, DC 20006

Organized by: Michael Barton (ASU), Cheryl Porter (University of Florida), Greg Tucker (CIRES, University of Colorado, Boulder), Sander van der Leeuw (ASU) 

The Open Modeling Foundation (OMF) is an international open science community that works to enable the next generation modeling of human and natural systems. It is an alliance of modeling organizations that coordinates and administers a common, community developed body of standards and best practices among diverse communities of modeling scientists. The OMF also provides informational, data, and technological resources to facilitate the implementation of common standards and best practices among the scientific communities it serves. Each participating organization will vote to adopt an OMF charter and related initial action items.

You can read more about the draft charter here.